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Table 1 The case numbers and incidence rates of kidney cancer between 1990 and 2030 at the global level

From: Trends and projections of kidney cancer incidence at the global and national levels, 1990–2030: a Bayesian age-period-cohort modeling study

 

1990

2017

2030

AAPC (95% CI) of ASR

No. of cases

(× 1000)

ASR

(/100,000)

No. of cases

(×1000)

ASR

(/100,000)

No. of cases (×1000)

(95% HDI)

ASR (/100,000)

(95% HDI)

1990–2017

2018–2030

Overall

207.3

4.72

393.0

4.94

475.4 (423.9, 526.9)

4.46 (4.06, 4.86)

0.14 (0.08, 0.20)*

−0.97 (−0.99, −0.95) *

Sex

 Male

114.6

5.65

240.8

6.38

298.1 (270.7, 325.6)

5.81 (5.29, 6.32)

0.38 (0.30, 0.46)*

−0.82 (−0.84, − 0.80)*

 Female

92.7

3.96

152.3

3.68

187.4 (171.3, 203.4)

3.39 (3.11, 3.67)

−0.26 (− 0.30, − 0.23)*

−0.73 (− 0.75, − 0.72)*

Age yearsa

 0–19

27.0

24.4

18.4 (15.5, 21.4)

 20–39

17.0

23.3

21.7 (19.7, 23.7)

 40–64

90.3

171.5

189.6 (172.5, 206.7)

 65+

73.0

173.8

248.8 (226.4, 271.3)

  1. ASR Age-standardized incidence rate, AAPC Average annual percentage change, CI Confidence interval, HDI Highest density interval
  2. a, for each age group, only the number of cancer cases is shown because the ASR was not available when the age was grouped
  3. *, P < 0.001